30 March 2020 Projected Number of US Deaths from Now into April 2020

I have two models that I'm currently using to project the number of COVID-19 deaths for the first half of April. Here are the numbers: 

3/30/2020		3,179	31	2849
3/31/2020		4,017	32	3600
4/1/2020		5,074	33	4548
4/2/2020		6,410	34	5746
4/3/2020		8,097	35	7259
4/4/2020		10,229	36	9171
4/5/2020		12,922	37	11587
4/6/2020		16,324	38	14639
4/7/2020		20,621	39	18495
4/8/2020		26,050	40	23366
4/9/2020		32,908	41	29521
4/10/2020		41,572	42	37296
4/11/2020		52,516	43	47120
4/12/2020		66,342	44	59530
4/13/2020		83,807	45	75210
4/14/2020		105,871	46	95020
4/15/2020		133,743	47	120047

The first column is of course the date. The third column is the projected deaths from what I call the "aggressive model." The aggressive model has over the last week been more accurate than the "conservative model." The number of deaths for the conservative model are found in the fifth column. (The numbers in the fourth column are "index" values used in the computations.) 

Both models predict that around 4/4 or 4/5, the number of US deaths will be near 10K. And around 4/14 and 4/15 the number of deaths will be around 100K. I'm hoping that things will crest soon and we will not see these numbers anytime soon. But for now I don't see the curves beginning to asymptote. If they do not begin to asymptote, we could see a million deaths in the US from COVID-19 by the end of April or the first part of June.

UPDATE: 

I stopped showing my projections above on 4/15 because the numbers were frightening enough. However, the Federal Government has made an announcement that if everything from now goes perfectly, we should expect the number of deaths to be up to 200,000. I believe they're making the statement that they did because they believe that the predicted number of deaths from COVID-19 are pretty much "baked in." Given that, I decided to show more of what my models predict, this time to 4/30. I begin with today's number of deaths (2nd column) and go from there. To review, the aggressive model is the 3rd column and the conservative model is the 5th column. Both models predict over 2 million deaths by 4/30. I believe the limiting factor on this many deaths in this short a time is the number people an infected person can infect. At some point the pool people who can be infected because so many are infected becomes increasingly limited. Where that comes into play is something I haven't had a chance to work through. I suspect that it something on the order of when 30 to 50 percent of the population becomes infected. 

3/30/2020	3,148	3,179	31	2,849
3/31/2020		4,017	32	3,600
4/1/2020		5,074	33	4,548
4/2/2020		6,410	34	5,746
4/3/2020		8,097	35	7,259
4/4/2020		10,229	36	9,171
4/5/2020		12,922	37	11,587
4/6/2020		16,324	38	14,639
4/7/2020		20,621	39	18,495
4/8/2020		26,050	40	23,366
4/9/2020		32,908	41	29,521
4/10/2020		41,572	42	37,296
4/11/2020		52,516	43	47,120
4/12/2020		66,342	44	59,530
4/13/2020		83,807	45	75,210
4/14/2020		105,871	46	95,020
4/15/2020		133,743	47	120,047
4/16/2020		168,952	48	151,667
4/17/2020		213,432	49	191,615
4/18/2020		269,621	50	242,085
4/19/2020		340,603	51	305,848
4/20/2020		430,271	52	386,405
4/21/2020		543,547	53	488,181
4/22/2020		686,644	54	616,764
4/23/2020		867,414	55	779,214
4/24/2020		1,095,773	56	984,453
4/25/2020		1,384,253	57	1,243,749
4/26/2020		1,748,678	58	1,571,343
4/27/2020		2,209,044	59	1,985,221
4/28/2020		2,790,609	60	2,508,112