Saturday, March 21, 2020

21 March 2020 New York State: How many are likely to be inflected with the novel CoronaVirus?

Here's the current situation as reported today by the New York Times:

  • Deaths: 43
  • Confirmed CoronaVirus cases: 6,211
With an infection rate of 2.5, here's what I suggest is the actual situation:

  • Total number infected: 24,952 ... so the number of confirmed cases is about 25% of those actually infected.
  • Projected number of deaths in 15 to 17 days: 425
  • The number who will require hospitalization: 4,242

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