Wednesday, March 18, 2020

COVID-19 Further Update: 18 March 2020 US Deaths at 132, Projected Number of Infected Report

As of today, I saw a report that 116 people have been reported to have died in the US of COVID-19. Here are my projections for an 1) an infection rate of 2.0, 2) 2.5 and 3) 3.0. Infection rate is the number of people an infected person will infect. I have seen reports of 2.0 to 3.0 as an infection rate.


Infection rate of 2.0



  • Total number infected as of today: 51120
  • Projected number of deaths in approximately 15 to 17 days: 747
  • Number of infected people who will require hospitalization: 8690

Infection rate of 2.5



  • Total number infected as of today: 89302
  • Projected number of deaths in approximately 15 to 17 days: 1304
  • Number of infected people who will require hospitalization: 15,181

Infection rate of 3.0


  • Total number infected as of today: 140,869
  • Projected number of deaths in approximately 15 to 17 days: 2058
  • Number of infected people who will require hospitalization: 23,948


Now, does everyone understand why cities are being locked down?

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