Here is the article from the New York Times reporting the number of drug related deaths from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) for 2017.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/15/upshot/opioids-overdose-deaths-rising-fentanyl.html?em_pos=small&emc=edit_up_20180815&nl=upshot&nl_art=0&nlid=67594383emc%3Dedit_up_20180815&ref=headline&te=1
In my own analysis https://professionalpredictivemodels.blogspot.com/2018/07/drugs-deaths-1999-to-2016-and.html my worst case prediction was for approximately 69,000 in 2017. To have a worst case exceeded by over 3000 deaths is a stunning development. My worst case prediction for 2018 is for the number of deaths to be between 76,000 and 77,000. And by 2025 my worst case prediction is for the number of drug related deaths to be between 150,000 and 160,000. I have had a difficult time believing the trends that the numbers appear to show. They seem unbelievable, but given that my own worst case, my own worst fears have been outstripped by the actual numbers ... well it now it appears that my own worst case fears may exceeded by reality.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/15/upshot/opioids-overdose-deaths-rising-fentanyl.html?em_pos=small&emc=edit_up_20180815&nl=upshot&nl_art=0&nlid=67594383emc%3Dedit_up_20180815&ref=headline&te=1
In my own analysis https://professionalpredictivemodels.blogspot.com/2018/07/drugs-deaths-1999-to-2016-and.html my worst case prediction was for approximately 69,000 in 2017. To have a worst case exceeded by over 3000 deaths is a stunning development. My worst case prediction for 2018 is for the number of deaths to be between 76,000 and 77,000. And by 2025 my worst case prediction is for the number of drug related deaths to be between 150,000 and 160,000. I have had a difficult time believing the trends that the numbers appear to show. They seem unbelievable, but given that my own worst case, my own worst fears have been outstripped by the actual numbers ... well it now it appears that my own worst case fears may exceeded by reality.
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