Wednesday, November 27, 2019

US life expectancy has not kept pace with that of other wealthy countries and is now decreasing

I've analyzed US suicide and drug-related death data. And the results have been striking and concerning. In fact with respect to drug related deaths, I performed a worst case analysis to predict the deaths for 2017. As it turned out, my worst case analysis wasn't nearly bad enough. That was a shocking and saddening realization.

However this is one of the saddest and most concerning studies I have seen regarding indicators regarding life in the US. 

When it comes to life expectancy, the US does better than the world average. But, US life expectancy rate is falling when life expectancy around the world is in virtually every case, increasing. Furthermore, when you look at life expectancy of other countries, the US ranks with Poland and the Czech Republic, not with Japan, Switzerland, the UK, Canada, Spain, Norway, France and others in the EU. Puerto Ricans have a higher life expectancy than those in the US.

Here's the link to the recently published study from the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) that discusses the recent findings.


https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2756187?guestaccesskey=c1202c42-e6b9-4c99-a936-0976a270551f&utm_source=for_the_media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_content=tfl&utm_term=112619

Here's a summary of their conclusions: 

US life expectancy increased for most of the past 60 years, but the rate of increase slowed over time and life expectancy decreased after 2014. A major contributor has been an increase in mortality from specific causes (eg, drug overdoses, suicides, organ system diseases) among young and middle-aged adults of all racial groups, with an onset as early as the 1990s and with the largest relative increases occurring in the Ohio Valley and New England. The implications for public health and the economy are substantial, making it vital to understand the underlying causes.

I wanted to get this out as soon as a saw it. I'll have more to say about this article in a later blog article. I'll add specific comparisons to data from other countries. 

If you're a US health care professional, it's worth your time just to scan the article. 


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